So you want the vaccine to prevent Covid

Leaving aside the conspiracy theorists, everyone knows that Covid is a killer that can threaten the existence of the human race. We are told that thousands of people are dying daily from Covid and unless we wear masks and take steps to avoid contact with other people the outcome will be overloaded health services and the deaths of our loved ones. In this article Michael Tamillow shows the real probability of suffering from Covid.

So let’s look at the figures from the people who are producing the Covid vaccines.

This report on the Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccine gives us the first peer-reviewed results. They report an efficacy of 70%. Maybe you’re thinking that if you had a 100% chance of suffering from Covid then the vaccine will reduce that to a manageable 30%? No, that’s not what it means.

There were 11,686 participants. Out of all the participants there were 131 cases of symptomatic Covid-19. That doesn’t mean that 131 people died or even that 131 people were hospitalised: it means that 131 people had some symptoms (which might just mean a runny nose). 131 out of 11,686 = 1.12%. Of those who got the placebo the figure is 101 out of 5829 = 1.7%. In other words without the vaccine the probability of getting any symptoms is 1.7%. With the vaccine it is 30 out of 5807 = 0.5%. That is why the efficacy is given as 70%. 10 people (all unvaccinated) were hospitalised. That’s 10 out of 5829 = 0.17%.

From the Healthline website:

At the time of publishing this article, influenza activity in the United StatesTrusted Source for the 2018–2019 flu season remained low. The proportion of outpatient visits for influenza-like illness increased slightly to 1.7 percent, which is below the national baseline of 2.2 percent.

The 2017–2018 flu season, however, was one of the deadliestTrusted Source in decades, with high levels of outpatient clinic and emergency department visits for flu-like illness and high flu-related hospitalization rates.

In other words, without the vaccine 0.17% of people were hospitalised for Covid compared with 1.7% for flu in a bad flu season.

And we must offset this also with the side effect of the vaccine. We don’t know what the long-term side effects of the Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccine are (which is in itself worrying) but if we look at the measles vaccine for a comparison, the CDC reports that 1 or 2 children out of 1000 who get the vaccine will die. If we say 1.5 out of 1000 that’s 0.15% deaths compared to 0.17% hospitalisations without the vaccines. We don’t know the numbers for the Covid vaccine but we can assume that they will be equal or more than the measles vaccine. And they want to give this to (or force this on) everyone on Earth.

By Philip Braham on December 12, 2020.